Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.580161 15.567189 17.760628 20.364324 23.374488 26.749674 30.827387
2025-10-12 11.095176 13.717961 16.850895 20.879879 25.939929 32.105481 40.220071
2025-10-19 9.744202 12.718365 16.478329 21.602595 28.439132 37.294383 49.712828
2025-10-26 8.322336 11.343627 15.340928 21.049867 29.049259 39.940685 56.032406
2025-11-02 7.323080 10.361834 14.543518 20.763900 29.861194 42.801434 62.820482
2025-11-09 6.539242 9.565040 13.877186 20.529290 30.639030 45.597733 69.724279
2025-11-16 5.880414 8.863256 13.251003 20.247298 31.259411 48.152347 76.463537
2025-11-23 5.294957 8.202323 12.604725 19.840664 31.603525 50.260265 82.659926
2025-11-30 5.082517 8.087705 12.769705 20.699135 34.007827 55.827551 95.088917
2025-12-07 4.779069 7.794631 12.617352 21.013699 35.528557 60.068583 105.708271
2025-12-14 4.441534 7.411507 12.278082 20.971334 36.419686 63.300595 114.870976
2025-12-21 4.114879 7.015265 11.877560 20.776170 37.007137 66.030990 123.382225
2025-12-28 3.968662 6.919565 11.986349 21.498381 39.331548 72.153324 139.073751
2026-01-04 3.804289 6.776537 11.997982 22.042495 41.377678 77.966373 154.861959
2026-01-11 3.686081 6.704322 12.126088 22.807816 43.908685 84.944207 173.801800
2026-01-18 3.390818 6.280595 11.573753 22.222492 43.741980 86.610580 181.921883
2026-01-25 3.160993 5.960294 11.186710 21.919679 44.101000 89.350894 192.624725
2026-02-01 2.958848 5.676161 10.844242 21.671259 44.539755 92.284453 204.075248
2026-02-08 2.768605 5.399804 10.493838 21.372680 44.838732 94.940537 215.196662
2026-02-15 2.580134 5.112090 10.097719 20.942151 44.809270 96.873681 224.857615
2026-02-22 2.546467 5.134095 10.325873 21.851101 47.790780 105.748272 252.071659
2026-03-01 2.456073 5.031881 10.290045 22.184192 49.514303 111.949928 273.539594
2026-03-08 2.336188 4.858540 10.091540 22.139330 50.366375 116.213910 290.674169